Tuesday, July 22, 2008

Post trust-vote scenarios

Now that the trust-vote is over and Manmohan Singh and his team has emerged triumphant, let’s look at the prevailing scenarios in different political groups:

UPA / Government:
The UPA has managed to kill two birds with one stone: 1) The N-deal will sail through and 2) The Left has been left behind and there is hope for some key reforms to be completed before general elections next year. Manmohan Singh has emerged as the real winner over Prakash Karat. But with the victory in its kitty, its already started misusing it. The Congress now seems to have taken up the Sethu-Samudram project, not caring about sentiments of the majority comunity. Thats not a good way to pay back the people who really wished for your survival in the trust vote, Mr. Singh.

Samajwadi Party:
SP has managed to be on the winning side. And no way it’s going to lose its Muslim vote base as the minority parties have themselves endorsed the N-Deal to be one that is in the interest of the country.

CPM/CPI:
Left has been brutally hurt, devastated. Prakash Karat and other senior leadership has come under the line of fire for having driven the Left front towards embarrassment. Another setback they suffered was speaker Somnath Chatterjee’s blatant defiance of party orders to resign before the vote-of-trust event. Somnath with his graceful conduct of speaker’s chair duties, proved that he was driving in an apolitical seat.

Third Front/UNPA:
The third front was a joke right from its conception. It was loosely cobbled-up front of political parties that were desperate to find an identity in the national politics controlled by either Congress-led UPA or BJP-led NDA. Mulayam Singh dumped them. They somehow got trapped in the Maya-jaal. The directionless front suddenly found a ray of hope in Mayawati who was with the UPA till recently. What a pity. Mayawati – with a meager 17 MPs started day dreaming of ousting the incumbent government to become the next PM. She has even blamed the UPA and NDA to have worked together to keep her away from PM post. Well Maya memsahib, take it easy. Don't aim higher than your reach . Try to gulp only what you can digest.
And what has happened to Chandrababu Naidu ? Has he gone insane to have expressed his support for Mayawati as PM? Being out of power has rusted his brains probably. Trying to defeat the government by projecting Mayawati as the prime ministerial candidate is like, as Bal Thakeray mentioned in his mouth piece - "using a a medicine thats more dangerous than the disease".

BJP/NDA:
BJP has been the biggest looser of all. The greed with which BJP showed its desperation to come into power has really damaged its image. BJP has been shamelessly opposing the deal, even though it was Mr. Vajpayee who wanted to seal this deal during his tenure. Were BJP in power, it would have definitely accepted the deal, probably even in an inferior form. Their argument against the deal has been shallow and without any real basis. Several senior BJP leaders were tight-lipped about their views on the deal. That speaks volumes about the real mood in the party. L.K. Advani has become so desperate to be the PM that he didn’t have the patience and the will to wait another 8-9 months when elections were due by their natural course. Rather than debating on the pluses and minuses of the deal, he kept on arguing about the policy failures of the government during the trust-vote, as if it was an election pitch. BJP has showed the same impatience it showed in 2004. It served them right to be left to bite their nails as UPA smoothly sailed through the trust-vote.

As for us people – more than 50 percent of Indian population doesn’t even know what this fight was all about. The attempt to thrust early elections upon us simply out of personal egos and political agendas has been thwarted.

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